Disney crowd forecast 
This date has passed. What you see is our forecast for it, not a record of how busy it actually was.
Tokyo DisneySea Crowd Forecast — Sun, Aug 16, 2026
The last day of a 2-day run, and the softest day of the whole run.
Sunday plus obon week pushes it up; summer break and next day is a workday caps how far it goes.
The peak of this run is day 15 at “Normal”; this day is “Fairly easy”.
Estimated guests22,000–42,000Estimated guests per day. The annual attendance figure (TEA/AECOM 2023 estimate) is spread across days using our own measured busyness. An estimate, not a count.
Toy Story Mania! 60min 
Journey to the Center of the Earth 45min Wait times are scaled from live observations by Queue-Times.com, adjusted for the crowd level of the day.
Photos: Freddo / CC BY-SA 4.0 — Wikimedia Commons
Common questions
- How busy is Tokyo DisneySea on Aug 16?
- We forecast "Fairly easy". The main driver is sunday. That makes it the 5th busiest of the 31 days we cover this month.
- Are hotels expensive on Aug 16?
- The next day is a workday, so demand for the night before is weak and room rates tend to fall. Park crowds and room rates move on different clocks — a busy day is not always an expensive night.
- Is there a quieter day near Aug 16?
- Within two weeks either side, shifting by 2 days brings it down to "Easy" — 1 step quieter.
Stay
The next day is a workday, so room rates tend to fall.
Disney Hotels 6 / 6 open
Inside the resort, run by OLC. Perks include Happy Entry, 15 minutes before general admission.
Official Hotels 6 / 6 open
Inside the resort, run by other operators. They sit on the monorail line and carry guest perks.
Partner Hotels 4 / 4 open
Shin-Urayasu, 15–20 min by free shuttle. Cheaper than staying inside the resort — the fallback when your dates cannot move.
