Disney crowd forecast 
Tokyo DisneySea Crowd Forecast — Sun, Nov 15, 2026
The last day of a 2-day run, and the softest day of the whole run.
Sunday plus busier season pushes it up; next day is a workday caps how far it goes.
The peak of this run is day 14 at “Busy”; this day is “Fairly busy”.
Estimated guests42,000–53,000Estimated guests per day. The annual attendance figure (TEA/AECOM 2023 estimate) is spread across days using our own measured busyness. An estimate, not a count.
Forecast waits
1 Soaring: Fantastic Flight 110min
2 
Toy Story Mania! 110min
Toy Story Mania! 110min 3 
Journey to the Center of the Earth 80min
Journey to the Center of the Earth 80min Wait times are scaled from live observations by Queue-Times.com, adjusted for the crowd level of the day.
Photos: Freddo / CC BY-SA 4.0 — Wikimedia Commons
Common questions
- How busy is Tokyo DisneySea on Nov 15?
- We forecast "Fairly busy". The main driver is sunday. That makes it the 15th busiest of the 30 days we cover this month.
- Are hotels expensive on Nov 15?
- The next day is a workday, so demand for the night before is weak and room rates tend to fall. Park crowds and room rates move on different clocks — a busy day is not always an expensive night.
- Is there a quieter day near Nov 15?
- Within two weeks either side, shifting by 8 days brings it down to "Normal" — 1 step quieter.
Stay
The next day is a workday, so room rates tend to fall.
Night before: 2026-11-14 → 2026-11-15 / Same night: 2026-11-15 → 2026-11-16