🍁 [Autumn long weekends] Not one of the year's 32 peak days?
Long weekends get treated as one thing, all equally heavy. Count the September and October runs of three days or more day by day and the busiest dates of the year never turn up inside them, while the days themselves fall cleanly into a heavy half and a light one.
Days inside a September or October run of three or more come to 14, or 2% of the year. They average Normal against Normal for the year, the same level. The lightest day is Easy and the heaviest reaches Fairly busy. Of the 32 busiest dates in the year, none land in this set.
Of the 14 days still ahead, the table lists the 14 quietest first. What you see is the level we expect, not a head count taken on the day. Which holidays fall into a run changes from year to year.
- Sep 19SatEasyroom↑
- Sep 23WedAutumn EquinoxEasyroom↓
- Sep 18SatEasyroom↑
- Sep 20MonRespect for the Aged DayEasyroom↓
- Oct 12MonSports DayFairly easyroom↓
- Oct 11MonSports DayFairly easyroom↓
- Sep 20SunNormalroom↑
- Sep 21MonRespect for the Aged DayNormalroom↑
- Sep 22TueSubstitute HolidayNormalroom↑
- Sep 19SunNormalroom↑
- Oct 10SatNormalroom↑
- Oct 9SatNormalroom↑
- Oct 11SunFairly busyroom↑
- Oct 10SunFairly busyroom↑
🍁 The autumn runs split in two!
The set is 14 days: 4 at Easy (29%) and 2 at Fairly busy (14%).
10 of them (71%) come in below the yearly average, and 6 are public holidays. One label covers two very different kinds of day.
⛰️ None of the year's 32 peak days land here!?
Count the 32 busiest dates of the year and 0 of them fall in these 14 days. Autumn long weekends are not what builds the top of the year.
This count only covers September and October, so it is not a direct head-to-head with the spring runs. Crowds inside a long weekend ranks every run in the year, and Public holidays takes the holiday effect on its own.
🤔 Does any single day match the average?
The set averages Normal. Yet only 6 days land on that level.
Light end to heavy end is 3 levels. The average word describes none of the days you can actually book. Carry away one word for "autumn long weekend" and it will be wrong either way.
📅 September and October point different ways!
September brings 5 of these days at Fairly easy; October brings 3 of these days at Normal; September brings 3 of these days at Fairly easy; October brings 3 of these days at Normal.
The model treats both months as a quiet season. What you get is a peak standing inside an otherwise light stretch. Autumn crowds covers the ground level those peaks stand on.
By day of the week the lightest is Wednesday at Easy and the heaviest Sunday at Normal.
🏨 The park splits, the room rate does not!
Across the 14 days, 10 nights push room rates up and 4 pull them down.
The park level divides in half while the rate side leans one way. Landing a light day does not buy you a light room rate. Park crowds and room rates handles that mismatch.
Ahead of today the lightest is Sep 19 (Sat) at Easy, the heaviest Oct 11 (Sun) at Fairly busy.
Last updated: 2026-09-03
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