Disney crowd forecast 
Tokyo DisneySea Crowd Forecast — Sun, Nov 22, 2026
Day 2 of a 3-day run, and the busiest day of it.
Sunday plus busier season and middle of the run pushes it up.
Within this run, this is the busiest day.
Estimated guests50,000–59,000Estimated guests per day. The annual attendance figure (TEA/AECOM 2023 estimate) is spread across days using our own measured busyness. An estimate, not a count.
Forecast waits
1 Soaring: Fantastic Flight 155min
2 
Toy Story Mania! 155min
Toy Story Mania! 155min 3 
Journey to the Center of the Earth 110min
Journey to the Center of the Earth 110min Wait times are scaled from live observations by Queue-Times.com, adjusted for the crowd level of the day.
Photos: Freddo / CC BY-SA 4.0 — Wikimedia Commons
Common questions
- How busy is Tokyo DisneySea on Nov 22?
- We forecast "Packed". The main driver is sunday. That makes it the 1st busiest of the 30 days we cover this month.
- Are hotels expensive on Nov 22?
- The next day is a day off, so demand for the night before is strong and room rates tend to climb.
- Is there a quieter day near Nov 22?
- Within two weeks either side, shifting by 14 days brings it down to "Normal" — 5 steps quieter.
Stay
The next day is a holiday, so room rates tend to climb.
Night before: 2026-11-21 → 2026-11-22 / Same night: 2026-11-22 → 2026-11-23