🎏 [Golden Week visitors] Is May 5 (Wed) the quietest date in the run?

The level at the start of the long run and the level at its end are nothing alike. What lifts these dates is not the name of the holiday but how many days off sit end to end. We counted the whole stretch, day by day, to find where the dip survives.

We counted every Golden Week date the forecast reaches: 24 days. The window averages Normal against Normal for the year, the same level. 18 of those days come in below the yearly average. The quietest is Easy, the busiest Normal.

The table lists the 12 days still ahead, quietest first. Every level here is our estimate for that date. Nobody counted anyone through the gates.

🎏 The whole run is not one peak!

The window covers 24 days. 18 of them (75%) land below the yearly average. File the run under one name and you stop seeing the dip inside it.

The quietest day is Easy, the busiest Normal — 2 levels apart inside one run of days off. If your date can move, that gap is the biggest prize on offer.

🗓️ The holiday's name is not what lifts it!?

Our model carries no Golden Week coefficient. The level comes from public holidays and from how many days off sit end to end. Of the 24 days counted here, 9 are public holidays.

Ahead of today, the busiest date is May 2 (Sun) at Normal. The longer the days off run together, the higher the middle of the run climbs. Where a run loosens up is worked through in quiet days inside a long run.

📅 Which weekday keeps the dip?

By weekday, Wednesday is quietest at Fairly easy and Monday busiest at Normal. Busiest first: Monday, Tuesday, Saturday.

The 17 weekdays average Normal, the 7 weekend days Normal — no gap once you round to a level. Ahead of today the quietest date is May 5 (Wed) at Easy.

A day that drops all the way to Easy still exists inside the run. The two halves of the window behave differently, so read April crowds and May crowds for the month-level view.

🔝 Not one of the year's busiest days lands here!

The window is 3% of the calendar. Of the 32 busiest days in the year, 0 (0%) fall inside it.

The top of the year stands outside this holiday altogether. Walk in assuming this is the busiest holiday of the year and you will pick the wrong date.

🏨 Room rates run on their own ruler!

Within the window, 13 nights push room rates up and 11 nights pull them down.

A rising level in the park does not drag the rate along with it. The same date can be a busy park and a falling rate. Park crowds and room rates handles how to read that.

Last updated: 2026-09-03