🎍 [Going over New Year] Across the 22 New Year days, does the weekday still matter?

Over the New Year program, the weekday lever stops working. Counted day by day, shifting onto a weekday barely moves the level, and almost nothing in the stretch lands below the yearly average.

We counted all 22 days from Jan 1 (Fri) to Jan 11 (Mon). The period averages Normal, against Normal for the year — the same level. Only 13 days land below the yearly average. Saturday is the busiest day of the week, Tuesday the quietest.

The table lists the 22 days of the period still ahead, quietest first. The levels across this stretch are our forecast, not counted attendance.

• Jan 11MonComing of Age DayEasyroom↓
• Jan 10MonComing of Age DayEasyroom↓
• Jan 11TueFairly easyroom↓
• Jan 3SunNormalroom↓
• Jan 5TueNormalroom↓
• Jan 6WedNormalroom↓
• Jan 7ThuNormalroom↓
• Jan 8FriNormalroom↑
• Jan 9SatNormalroom↑
• Jan 4TueNormalroom↓
• Jan 5WedNormalroom↓
• Jan 6ThuNormalroom↓
• Jan 8SatNormalroom↑
• Jan 1FriNew Year's DayNormalroom↑
• Jan 10SunNormalroom↑
• Jan 2SunNormalroom↓
• Jan 7FriNormalroom↑
• Jan 9SunNormalroom↑
• Jan 4MonFairly busyroom↓
• Jan 1SatNew Year's DayFairly busyroom↑
• Jan 3MonFairly busyroom↓
• Jan 2SatBusyroom↑

🎍 Only 13 quiet days in the whole run!

The period runs 22 days. Just 13 of them (59%) land below the yearly average. This is the one stretch where "pick a quiet day" stops working.

It averages Normal against Normal for the year — 0 steps apart. 1 of the year's 32 busiest days sit inside this short window.

📅 Changing the weekday changes nothing!?

Quietest weekdays first: Tuesday, Monday, Wednesday. Across all seven, though, only 2 levels ever show up.

The 14 weekdays average Normal; the 8 weekend days Normal — 0 step apart. The weekday lever you normally pull does nothing here. crowds by weekday shows what it normally does.

🗓️ So where is the way out?

Ahead of today, the quietest day is Jan 11 (Mon) at Easy; the busiest is Jan 2 (Sat) at Busy.

Day to day the range covers 4 steps, yet the weekday averages collapse into 2. What separates the days is distance from the peak, not the weekday.

🎌 The calendar is doing the work!

Of the 22 days, 14 are weekdays, 8 are weekend days and 4 are public holidays.

The New Year peak is set by how the days off line up, not by the event itself. Read the holiday run first. holidays and school breaks takes the run apart, and the winter break handles the year-end side.

🏨 Room rates move on their own!

Within the period, 9 nights push room rates up and 13 nights pull them down.

Park crowds and room rates do not line up. The park can stay packed while the rate drops. The reading continues in park crowds and room rates.

• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0❄️[Avoiding crowds] Same winter, but two steps apart!"January and February are quiet" is only half true. January really is quiet; February is the opposite. We tested the Lunar New Year theory and it did not hold.
• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0🍁[Autumn visitors] 105 of the 182 autumn days are quiet — but only through September?105 of the 182 autumn days land below the yearly average. By month, the quiet part stops after September. Counted day by day.
• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0🔺[If your dates can move] 31 of the year's 32 busiest days are in one season?31 of the year's 32 busiest days land inside the busy season. Even so, 53 days inside it come in under the yearly average. Counted across all 296 days.
• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0🎄[Visiting this winter] 8 of the 90 Christmas days come in under the yearly average?Of the 90 days in the Christmas season, 8 sit below the yearly average. The busiest lands on Dec 25 (Sat), the quietest on Nov 23 (Mon).
• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0🧩[Between events] 2 gaps, 16 days — but only 6 of them really empty?We have 3 verified events with 2 gaps between them, 16 days in all. Merchandise and menus for the next one land first, which cuts the gaps to 6 days.
• Dick Thomas Johnson / CC BY 2.0📚[Going in Jan or Feb] 67 exam-season weekdays, above the yearly average?The 67 plain weekdays of January and February average above the yearly average. Only 30 beat it, short of half. Holidays, breaks and weekends removed.